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MarketPulse: Pound remains unaffected as wage growth slows down, with focus now shifting to US inflation



The British pound has managed to hold steady despite a slowdown in wage growth, as market attention now turns towards the upcoming US inflation data. The latest figures from the UK Office for National Statistics (ONS) revealed that wage growth in the country slowed down in the three months to August, raising concerns about the strength of the economic recovery.

According to the ONS, average weekly earnings, including bonuses, increased by 6.2% in the three months to August compared to the same period last year. While this may seem like a significant increase, it represents a slowdown from the 8.3% growth recorded in the previous quarter. Excluding bonuses, wage growth also decelerated to 5.8% from 6.8% in the previous quarter.

The slowdown in wage growth is seen as a potential warning sign for the UK economy, as it could indicate a weakening consumer spending power. With inflation rising and wages growing at a slower pace, consumers may face a squeeze on their disposable income, which could impact their ability to spend and support economic growth.

However, despite these concerns, the pound has remained largely unaffected. This can be attributed to the fact that market participants are now shifting their focus towards the upcoming US inflation data, which is expected to have a more significant impact on global markets.

The US inflation data is closely watched by investors as it provides insights into the health of the world’s largest economy and influences monetary policy decisions by the Federal Reserve. A higher-than-expected inflation reading could increase expectations of an earlier interest rate hike by the Fed, which would likely strengthen the US dollar and potentially weaken other currencies like the pound.

Investors are particularly interested in the US inflation data as it comes amid ongoing concerns about rising price pressures globally. In recent months, inflation has been a major topic of discussion, with central banks closely monitoring price levels and adjusting their policies accordingly.

The Federal Reserve has already signaled its intention to start tapering its bond-buying program, which has been supporting the US economy during the pandemic. A strong inflation reading could further reinforce the Fed’s decision to reduce its asset purchases, potentially leading to a stronger US dollar.

The pound’s resilience in the face of slower wage growth can also be attributed to the ongoing optimism surrounding the UK’s economic recovery. Despite the recent slowdown, the UK economy has been performing relatively well, with strong growth in sectors such as manufacturing and services.

Additionally, the successful rollout of COVID-19 vaccines in the UK has helped boost consumer confidence and support economic activity. The reopening of businesses and easing of restrictions have led to increased spending and a rebound in economic output.

Overall, while the slowdown in wage growth raises concerns about the strength of the UK economy, the pound has remained unaffected as market attention shifts towards the upcoming US inflation data. Investors are closely watching the inflation figures, which could have a more significant impact on global markets and potentially influence the future direction of currencies like the pound.